Lab DaisyWorld:
Questions
The purpose of these questions is only to suggest games to play with the simulator.
Do what's fun.
- In the first scenario, "DaisyWorld in 3 species", you'll notice that the
living area ("total daisies") doesn't exceed 70%. Look at the Parameters of
this scenario. The deathrate is set to 0.3, which may explain
the living percentage being no more than 0.7. Play with
this parameter. What does the deathrate do to the daisies' ability to control
their environment's temperature? To the species mix?
- Using a multispecies scenario you like, run the insulation from 0 to 1.0 by .2's.
What effect does this have on the daisies' control of
the planet temperature? Why? If DaisyWorld had spatial structure, neighboring
patches of daisies, and the neighbors were more influential (lower insulation) than
the planetary temperature, what might be different?
- Another parameter is "max steps per". At each luminosity increment,
DaisyWorld runs "to convergence", or a maximum of "max steps per" calculations
at that luminosity, before plotting a point. Try setting this down from 1000
to 5. Where does the result differ from the original scenario? Try DaisyWorld
in 5 species with max steps set to 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 20, 50, 100. Speculate on
what's going on. (Note: this is a deterministic simulation, no random component. The
exact same parameters yield identical results.)
- Wanna see something really pretty? If your computer isn't struggling too hard to
run the bigger scenarios, try DaisyWorld in 20 species, changing the deathrate to 0.2
and "max steps per" to 2. You could intellectualize about this pattern if you want,
or just enjoy it and see if you can come up with others.
- Try the next three scenarios (neutral, white, black). They all have
barren plus one species of daisy. Pick one and experiment with the albedos
from the "Daisies" button. Recall that 0 is a black hole and 1.0 a perfect reflector of
incoming light. Play until you can roughly predict what's going to happen
with each change. You can play with the temperature ranges on the parameter
menu along with this.
- Going back to the 3-color base scenario, play around until you can characterize
when the living world temperature crosses from above to below the dead world temperature.
Does your story have predictive power? Try your predictions on a different scenario.
- Here are some albedo values for planet Earth. Play around with them,
perhaps with the 3-species scenario, using desert values for "barren",
since barren is all that is not daisies.
Learn anything?
| Ground cover | Albedo |
| deep water | .05 - .20 |
| desert | .20 - .35 |
| short greenery | .10 - .20 |
| dry vegetation | .20 - .30 |
| summer conifers | .10 - .15 |
| deciduous forest | .15 - .25 |
| snowy forest | .20 - .35 |
| dry snow | .60 - .90 |
- Some Earth features missing in DaisyWorld are an atmosphere and
roundness. Solar input is not the same at all lattitudes or altitudes,
the atmosphere serves as a greenhouse, and the neighborhood temperature
is definitely more influential than that of the planet as a whole.
What might this explain about
your results with the Earth albedo values above?
- Try the scenario of DaisyWorld in 12 species. Pose an evolutionary
argument for species succession in this scenario.
- Refute your evolutionary argument above. Having argued both sides, which
is "right"? How could you tell?
- In the many-color worlds (9 and above), there are sometimes pre-peaks of a color
before its decisive succession. Can you come up with a story about that?
- Stories like the ones you're inventing here are sometimes called "just-so stories".
Do you think you could tell a "just-so story" from a
valuable one when reading a scientific paper? How
do you think people develop that kind of discernment?
- Time-consuming, for the mathematically inclined. Try doing a
qualitative analysis of the behavior of the system of equations
Under the Hood. This is a feedback loop, so
try placing the equations as boxes on a circle, and determine when each has
a positive (amplifying) or negative (damping) feedback on the planetary
temperature. Note that the authors of this model deemed the system insoluble,
so this is only a qualitative analysis. Can you make any predictions
and test them out on the simulator?
Ginger Booth, Oct. 19, 1997
ginger@gingerbooth.com